How do they stand up to last years group and what can we expect from these 20 horses? Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. Flightline had already made headlines before his first career start, selling for $1 million at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga sale. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. font-size: 12px; However, that came after the disqualification of Maximum Security. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. Taiba earned the same number when defeating his stablemate in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. Last year, he was on fire. On this Wikipedia the language links are at the top of the page across from the article title. On 2016s Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Barring any major surprises, Epicenter will be the favorite for the Preakness Stakes when the gates open on Saturday. The end result also included a 98 Beyer, which matches the best speed figure run so far by Zandon, the morning-line Derby favorite. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe, These 19 horses have Saturday's highest speed figures. This implies that Secretariat would have had the highest ever Beyer speed figure. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! }. Sometimes, variants are split during the day if the surface changes drastically enough. When many people see the name of a champion sprinter as a sire, they think his best runners will be fast and precocious. For example, Messier posted a 98 Beyer in his most recent race but also has a 103 on his resume, indicating a consistent high-level performer. He later was disqualified for a drug overage and runner-up Mandaloun was promoted to the win. Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. [5] Easy Goer is also the record-holder for a two-year-old, earning a 116 Beyer Speed Figure in the 1988 Champagne Stakes. With a large field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, want to see the horse racing predictions from racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir before making any 2022 Blue Grass . margin: 3px; . Sprinter Turf Male Turf Female. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. APPLETON - Change can be difficult, but Appleton East guard Sammi Beyer is taking a positive approach to her senior season. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? With Rich Strike and Zandon defecting, it opens the door for the Derby runner-up to dip below 2-1, which is unusually short for a non-Derby winner. Speed Figures: Nest's speed figures have improved dramatically in her last few starts. May 11:Strobe quick early, late in sparkling debut victory, May 25:Pricey Nabokov pays off with 91 Beyer, June 2:Forte shouldimprove with distance, Beyer Slideshow featuring last weekends stakes winners from around the country with Beyer Speed Figures, sire/breeder information and more. Another very fast horse who was handled that way was Ghostzapper (Awesome Again). Pedigree: Olympiad is from the 13th crop of 2004 champion sprinter Speightstown, by Gone West. Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) is a common metric used to handicap horse racing and contextualize how well a horse ran in a given race. So a high BSF ceiling is notable, but also consistency is a plus too to battle possible negative regression. Remember Ben with a gift to Thoroughbred aftercare, Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts, Home Archive Shared News With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. 111. The Beyer Speed Figure is calculated by looking at the final time and distance of the race, adjusted by the track variant, which is a measure of the inherent speed of the racetrack in question. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on May 19, 2022 - Last Updated on May 23, 2022. Beyers subsequent books, My $50,000 Year at the Races (1978), The Winning Horseplayer (1983), and Beyer on Speed (1993) continued to raise racing fans awareness of the importance of speed figures. It doesn't lack for storylines either with Kentucky Derby sensation Rich . Previewing the 2022 Kentucky Derby. His performance was given a Beyer Speed Figure of 126, which according to the Daily Racing Form, which publishes the figures, is the second-highest number since eponymous BSF creator Andrew Beyer . Follow TheLines on Twitter for complete 2022 Kentucky Derby coverage. It's an exciting time. These were three of the eight highest figures earned in the 1990s. } [4] Easy Goer and Sunday Silence both earned 124 speed figures in the 1989 Breeders' Cup Classic, which tied for the fastest speed figure earned in any Breeders' Cup race. I'm going to be very mindful of his campaign, he said. 60 Broad St. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race. font-weight: bold; 2022 Preakness Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Racing insider offers betting strategy for second leg of Triple Crown One week after hitting the Pick 4 at Belmont Park for $1,851, Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir just revealed his picks and bets for the Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course That's the case for this year's Wood Memorial, where pacesetter Early Voting got a slightly higher TimeformUS Speed Figure than Mo Donegal. [15][16], Beyer speculated that had his figures existed in 1973, Secretariat would have scored 139 in his classic 1973 win at the Belmont Stakes. Jessica Morgan / Eclipse Sportswire. Sell. None of the entrants in 2010's field has yet earned a number higher than 101. In Picking Winners, Beyer claimed a breakthrough when a study of claiming races at Calder Race Course showed Beyer that 1:13 for six furlongs was equally fast to 1:26.1 at seven; from there, Kovitz's math was used to generate perfectly accurate parallel-time and beaten-lengths charts, which Beyer then used to make par times for classes, against which each race is measured to determine if the track is faster or slower than normal. Several runners had higher TimeformUS figures for Saturday's races, including Cavalry Charge with a 122 in winning the Fair Grounds Stakes (G3). 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[23], As Beyer has noted, a speed figure is a numerical expression of a horse's final time, universalized for distance, track surface, and the daily variant on that surface. Belmont Stakes 2022 field and odds. Brisnet does not mark Epicenter as a standout. Bet with your head, not over it. [Related: Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections]. He's the kind of horse that when he's right and ready to run that's when he's going to go. by ericdecoster February 9, 202211 min read. Indy are both major stamina influences as broodmare sires and Olympiads family also produced 1987 Ashland Stakes winner Chic Shirine and 2015 Travers Stakes winner Keen Ice. The fields for the 14 races that comprise the Breeders Cup World Championships really begin to come into focus in summer and fall, and just last weekend we witnessed several breakout performances. Considering that he is by Tapit and, therefore, should do his best running at longer distances and that Sadler-trained horses usually don't reach their peak until turning four, or even five, could Flightline actually get better? The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. For losing horses, points are deducted according the lengths behind the winner and the distance of the race.Beyer Speed Figures are interchangeable from track to track. 10 of the previous 12 Kentucky Derby winners posted a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or more. Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. It has sold approximately 200,000 copies, has been translated into Japanese and Korean, and is still in print after 44 years. .tableizer-table th { Photo: Beyer Speed Figures had him with a top of 79 as a 2-year-old, but he earned a 94 for the San Vicente and a 98 for the San Felipe, so he's . The Beyer Speed Figures are an easy indicator to determine which horse will likely become the favorite to win in a race. Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Preakness 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. [9][10][11] Easy Goer ran a 122 in winning the 1989 Belmont Stakes, the best Beyer Speed Figure in any Triple Crown race since these ratings were first published in 1987. The Beyer speed figure of 79 was solid if not spectacular, but the manner in which the win was accomplished - a stalking trip followed by a good late kick - suggests this colt will be perfectly suited by an extended sprint . (Note that this speed figure was assigned before the numbers were published in the Daily Racing Form, so may not be included in some listings of the top speed figures. Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Games, Tacitus 2019 Kentucky Derby Contender Profile, 2022 Belmont Stakes Odds: We The People Overtakes Mo Donegal On The Oddsboard, 2022 Breeders Cup Predictions: Expert Picks And Best Bets. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. 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After a weekend of three extremely telling Kentucky Derby prep races, and 50-point races coming quickly, there's no better time to take a look at how the crop has performed figures-wise to this point. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. With the way things are looking, it seems like Epicenter has an excellent chance of winning the Kentucky Derby this year. Unlike many of his rivals, he still has room to catch up on speed figures. While Flightline is expected to have a more complete campaign next year than he did this year, don't expect him to run seven or eight times. This makes them wild cards of sorts, with the odds estimate reflecting the uncertainty. 0:04. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. Receive daily headlines, breaking news alerts, promotions, and much . With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. Beyer's subsequent research added the last piece of the puzzle. The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. Bet On Flightline (+375) at BetOnline Overall, the number reflects the time of the race and the inherent speed of the track over which it was run. Combining BSFs with other metrics like Brisnet Speed Figures and final furlong times gives us a more complete picture of this field. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. In the army they called it unity of command. Medaglia dOro and A.P. Once horses have built a figure history, Beyer projects a figure based on the figures earned by the horses in the race, in place of the par, making the numbers much more accurate. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. For example, horse "A" has gotten Beyer Speed Figures of 90, 82, and 89 in his last three races. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back, Register for DFS, receive a free NBA Entry. The Beyer team felt justified for putting the older horse's time in context with the pace and level of the race. Beyer Speed Figures earned by Messier (103) and Adare Manor (94) in their blowout victories yesterday at Santa Anita were the highest by male and female 3-year-olds, respectively, thus far in 2022. Bob Weir revealed his 2022 Metropolitan Handicap picks ahead of Saturday's race, which is also known as the Met Mile . Creating these figures is the result of a very complex process that involves mathematical formulas and judgment calls . Through 02/26/2023. border: 1px solid #CCC; They employ their judgment in analyzing any racing card and determining the track variant. Each week, we will analyze the top maiden winners by Beyer performances. Epicenter (+400) ran his own 102 BSF race in the Louisiana Derby (G2). A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. The figures are straightforward: the greater the number, the quicker the horse. I believe the number for the Wood was inflated after it was compared to the Gazelle Stakes (G3) at the same distance on the same card. If the download does not complete, Click Here. Regularly updated current leaders in Beyer Figures, by division, Stormy Liberal's 119 Beyer one for the books, Context matters in determining Beyers for Personal Ensign Stakes, Beyer analysis supports Justify as Derby favorite, Slight edge to American Pharoah over Justify on speed figures, Purchase Beyer on Demand & Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures Click here >>, Download free sample Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; He earned a 102 for his Preakness and a 105 for his Belmont Stakes victory. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. Comparatively, Rock Your World ran a 100-BSF, which paced the 2021 group. Crown Pride hails from Japan while Summer Is Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai. p: (800) 647-6571 Click Here to sign up for a free subscription. BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. The British Rail Class 35 is a class of mixed-traffic B-B diesel locomotive with hydraulic transmission.Because of their Mekydro-design hydraulic transmission units, the locomotives became known as the Hymeks.They were numbered D7000-D7100. Beyer Sire Performance Standings offer a metric for measuring stallion performance beyond wins and earnings. There is so much to look forward to out there.. Handicappers may find it useful to relate the par to the typical figures of horses in a field. 83. TimeformUS also values the strength of Tim Yakteen's duo. The track variant considers both the historical average time at the racetrack for the distance in question, called the "par time", and the average speed for the day in particular. He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. "Five Takeaways" From the Week Concluding March 13, 2022 By Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Analyst and Handicapper. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. Note that unlike with Brisnet and Beyer, TimeformUS also takes pace into account when formulating its figures. According to the Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman, the 118 is the highest number given to any horse since Shancelot (Shanghai Bobby) got a 121 when winning the 2019 GII Amsterdam S. at Saratoga. The list since 1987 The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Hes a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. While news that Kentucky Derby sensation Rich Strike will skip the Preakness Stakes surely tamping down some of the fervor over the big race, that doesn't mean there's nothing to watch for or bet on this Saturday. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, youll want the skinny on the horses. So some of the traditional rules may not apply. Speed figures are normalized numerical representations of final times based on relative track speeds, as it is rare for tracks to produce the exact final . A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a . Flightline, now a 4-year-old, posted an impressive Beyer speed figure of 126 in the Pacific Classic, and continued a five-race string of excellence of 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126 leading into . Click here to sign up for the daily PDF or alerts. Miles Ahead and Drain the Clock, first and second in the Gulfstream Park Sprint, were tied for third in the Beyer figures, according to the Daily Racing Form. After reaching the WIAA Division 1 girls basketball state . USA: After drawing comparisons with the legendary Secretariat for his extraordinary 19-length romp in Saturday's Pacific Classic at Del Mar, Flightline has been awarded a Beyer speed figure of 126 - the second-highest in 31 years. The big step that I know for sure is that we want to get him stretched out, he said. Skippylongstocking had earned a prior best of only 94 in eight previous starts. Among long shots, Zozos has the best chance to spring an upset, based on speed figures. Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. color: #FFF; That is possible, Sadler said. On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. I think there will be articles about this later in the week, that they've never seen a horse that is faster. Making just his third lifetime start after very impressive wins in a Santa Anita maiden and a Del Mar allowance, Flightline was tested for class in the Malibu, and couldn't have passed any more easily. That . If you are a casual sports fan getting ready to check out the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown, you are going to hear plenty of talk about Beyer Speed Figures. The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. padding: 4px; Three-year-old horses are expected to improve at this point in their careers, but this is also the first time any of them will run 1 1/4 mile. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. If their calculations would produce a figure that defies logic (due to a timing error, or a sudden change in the condition of the track, for example) they will assign the race a figure that reflects the true ability of horses in the field. A 90 at Saratoga is the same quality of performance as a 90 at the Ferndale Fair.Moreover, a figure of 90 in a six-furlong race is the same quality of performance as a 90 at 1 miles. No specifics, he said. Young horses improve with time, typically at a rate of a point per month, so a par for 3-year-old $20,000 claimer could not be accurate in both January and December. Beyer Speed Figure: 86.7 Betting Favorites All time: 2 for 15: 2021 Winner: Modern Games (*) $2 Exacta: $93.60 $1 Trifecta: $958.70 At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. The top Beyer Speed Figure earned by a Kentucky Derby Sportsbook since 1987 is 118, shared by Summer Squall (1990), Silver Charm (1997) and Smarty Jones (2004). } Only one horse has recorded a better Beyer speed figure than Flightline's 126 in the Pacific Classic, and none have matched his five-race string of excellence 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126. (16-1) earned a 93 Beyer . 107. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. His Brisnet high of 101 is tied with Epicenter. We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . The winner of the Kentucky Derby will likely run their best career race, but having a history of 100+ BSF helps predict such a performance. Reach for the superlatives: Flightline and jockey Flavien Prat after a truly astonishing performance in the Pacific Classic. In Betting Thoroughbreds, Steve Davidowitz claimed that (in 1974), "the top-figure horse wins 35 percent of the time, at a slight loss for every $2.00 wagered." Average winning figure for a drug overage and runner-up Mandaloun was promoted to the win beyond... To an 82 Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in America! 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