He said his campaigns polling showed him down by 7 percentage points to Boebert, but campaign staff thought Frisch should have been down by 12 percentage points because of the makeup of the largely rural district and Boebert's incumbency. Frisch did not address whether he would run in 2024, but said he is working to understand what went wrong in his 2022 campaign. Experts told Newsweek that the vote is largely a referendum on the congresswoman, who "has managed to alienate a number of unaffiliated voters and possibly some Republicans in her district," according to Seth Masket, the director of the Center of American Politics at the University of Denver. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorado's 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. All are . How that dynamic may have played out in the third district is a bit unclear. And Masket points out a presidential election year could be a better environment for Boebert when it comes to turnout. The congresswoman received heavy criticism after claiming that women are weaker than men and need masculinity to balance out that so-called weakness. But there are also key differences between the two contests. On Monday, Frisch challenged Boebert to debate five times in Grand Junction at Western Slope advocacy group Club 20's fall meeting, and in other cities throughout the sprawling 3rd Congressional District, including Pueblo, Alamosa, Durango and Rifle, where Boebert operated Shooters Grill until earlier this month when the gun-themed restaurant closed after losing its lease. "You're right. FiveThirtyEight had projected her with a 97 in 100 chance of winning re-election. Representative Lauren Boebert leaves after a House Second Amendment Caucus press conference at the U.S. Capitol on June 8, 2022, in Washington, D.C. Boebert's midterm race against Frisch is likely . A statewide recount of the Secretary of State's primary this summer resulted in each candidate gaining just about a dozen votes. Feb 25, 2023, 04:25 AM EST | Updated Feb 25, 2023. ", "The last recount in Colorado was for a statewide election, not just congressional, and only changed the outcome by 13 votes," Boebert's spokesperson said. Frisch was expected to face long odds after redistricting made the already conservative district, which elected former President Donald Trump by a 15 point margin in 2016, more Republican. Wildfires threaten parched areas throughout the district, and the floods or mudslides that follow endanger infrastructure of local and national importance, such as Interstate 70. Headed into 2024, Boebert will be a twice-elected incumbent serving in a House led by Republicans, and Frisch will be better known in Democratic circles for having almost unseated her. She is 36 years old. The tightness of the race has garnered national attention as Republicans inch closer to the 218 seats that would give them control of the U.S. House. Although the other seven districts have already been calledRepublicans held two seats, while Democrats held three and won the competitive, newly-drawn 8th districta return to Congress remains uncertain for Boebert. Despite it all, however, Boebert enjoyed widespread support among Republicans for much of her first term. As of results posted at 7:57 p.m., Frisch, a Democrat from Aspen, had just barely kept ahead of Boebert, a Republican from Silt, 50.01%% to 49.99%, the secretary of states office reported. While we narrowly came up short this time, voters will have their say again in two years, he said. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. He tweeted his thanks to volunteers who helped voters fix and count ballots throughout the election, one of the closest in the country this election cycle. Tina Peters has been charged with allegedly allowing outsiders to break into her election system. Boebert is leading in one county where a larger portion of ballots is still being tabulated: Otero County, with 58.7 percent of the vote. Boebert's extreme rightwing stances range from absolute opposition to gun control to questioning the effectiveness of vaccines and the outcome of the 2020 presidential elections. His campaign did receive legal help from the DCCC after polls closed and it became more likely there would be a recount of the close race. Although recounts are not uncommon, especially for state and local candidates, they rarely upset the results of an election. People can also expect to see and hear more from incumbents and their challengers, as they get out in the districts to get to know and talk with voters, touting accomplishments or how theyd be different in Congress. He adds, "If you're over bottom-feeding racist morons like Lauren Boebert: welcome." Walker will get a chance to expand on his approach during a February 26 CD3 candidate forum sponsored by the . This far out, political watchers acknowledge many of the factors that could ultimately shape the races are still unknown, like who will be the top of the ticket for both parties, the national mood, how the economy is doing, and what issues will be top of mind for voters in the summer and fall of 2024. More: Far-right candidates struggled in midterm election. Even if she wins she is pretty significantly underperforming her district, Masket said. The good news for the GOP is that Boebert is on track to hold the advantage on the initial tally, and because recounts rarely change the outcome of an election, Republicans are poised to keep the seat. But not all Republicans in the district stood behind Boebert. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. Republican strategist Tyler Sandberg pointed out Caraveo will also go into the 24 election with a congressional voting record. The congresswoman was widely projected to win reelection in the largely red-leaning district, but early vote counts showed Frisch with the lead, and even when Boebert overtook her opponent, the margin remained slim. Write by: . President Trump was in office when the COVID virus was released from a lab in China," Boebert said in a spiel criticizing pandemic-era mask . The 2024 elections may feel far off, but in Colorados most contested House districts, theyre already looming, News That Matters, Delivered To Your Inbox, given control of the House and Senate will be at stake in 2024, of the House members from each party who won their seats by the narrowest margins, has already declared his candidacy in the race, recently announced shes running for the seat, some chance to change peoples views on that, a surprisingly strong showing by a Libertarian candidate. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Still, he cautioned against assuming help from national Democrats would have put Frisch over the finish line. An Iowa native, he joined the paper in November 2019 after stints at the Colorado Springs Gazette, the Lawrence Journal World in Kansas and the Sioux City Journal in Iowa. Of the four counties where there is still more than two percent of votes to be countedand thus where either candidate is most likely to see a bumpFrisch is leading by an overwhelming margin in three. It never should have been this close, in this district, at this time, in this election.. Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., addresses attendees to the Turning Point USA Student Action Summit, July 23, 2022. along with the rest of the Republican Party, Trumps Relationship With Jared and Ivanka. Boeberts Christian nationalist rhetoric has also drawn strong condemnation across the country. As Senate Minority leader Mitch McConnell pointed out, candidate quality also matters. If Boeberts win holds through the recount process, shell be in the Houses majority party, meaning she might have a better chance of passing legislation for her district. Running in this race, getting to know so many people in my district & hearing your stories has been an honor of a lifetime, Frisch tweeted. The second is voter turnout operations. One thing is also certain, though: there wont be much, if any, campaign downtime. Recounts rarely shift more than a few votes. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. One of the biggest surprises on election night in 2022 was that Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO), one of the more controversial members of the House, nearly lost her bid for a second term. The states recount threshold sits at 0.5% of the leading candidates total votes, approximately 783 votes. More coverage from the 3rd Congressional District: It quickly became clear on Election Night that hardline conservative Rep. Lauren Boebert would face a tougher-than-expected reelection race . After midnight Tuesday, Frisch told The Denver Post he was both invigorated and tired, especially after an 11-day, 3,300-mile run through the district, which took him through 27 counties. Im not gonna get over my skis, so to speak, Frisch said. The former Aspen City Council member regularly called Boebert a member of the anger-tainment industry and criticized her for not passing any legislation in her first term. The sprawling district covers much of western and southern Colorado, including ranches, ski resorts and national forest land as well as the cities of Pueblo and Grand Junction. Her Christian nationalist rhetoric calling for a religious takeover of America most worried political and religious experts who warned that the comments threatened the countrys democratic foundations. Whoever takes on Boebert will need all the financial help they can get; Sandberg points out Boebert has proven to be a strong fundraiser during her campaigns, raising more than $7 million last cycle. Boebert, meanwhile, derisively portrayed Frisch as "Aspen Adam," trying to paint him as an elite liberal. President Trump was in office when the . 0:15. . Daten ber Ihr Gert und Ihre Internetverbindung, wie Ihre IP-Adresse, Browsing- und Suchaktivitten bei der Nutzung von Yahoo Websites und -Apps. In many ways, CO-8, the states newest district, is the traditional competitive seat. Julypolling from Keating Research, a Democratic firm, showed Boebert with a 49%-42% advantage, with 9% of likely voters undecided. It wears on people, on campaign staff, wears on the candidate because [its a] never-ending campaign. And though her Colorado district is full-on red, it took over a week for Boebert to be declared the winner by just 554 votes. What is known is Boebert, known for her disparaging comments against Muslim colleagues and opposition to LGBT rights, heads into a second two-year term in the House with a Republican majority. She was falsely accused of shooting her neighbors dogs and was dragged into a small-town drama in Silt after her husband confronted and frightened their neighbors. It also has the largest proportion of Latino residents in the state. As for CO-3, even if it is another Boebert-Frisch matchup, it wont be the same race as 22. 2022 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved. October 6, 2022. In Pueblo County, votes that were both submitted by mail and cast in person on Election Day are still being counted, according to CBS News Colorado. Preezy Brown. Boebert's 2022 midterms race has yet to be called as ballots continue to be counted in Colorado's 3rd District. As of Thursday evening, neither candidate had declared victory or conceded. In closely watched Pueblo County, exhausted elections workers on Thursday were processing roughly 3,200 mail-in ballots and 1,800 in-person last-day ballots, said Gilbert Ortiz, the county clerk and recorder. Chicago Mayor Lightfoot ousted; Vallas, Johnson in runoff, King asks Duke and Duchess of Sussex to move out of Frogmore so Prince Andrew can move in, Biden Mocks Marjorie Taylor Greene With 1 Simple Hand Gesture, A Nebraska high-school cheerleader competed on her own after the rest of her squad quit. It takes a good days drive to cover Colorado, but well help you do it in a few minutes. Last year, Caraveo beat Republican Barbara Kirkmeyer by 0.7 percent of the vote in the toss-up seat. Drop us a note at tips@coloradosun.com. CD-3 is much more a giant war of personalities.. Hes also not the only Democrat candidate in the race; Gunnison veterinarian Debby Burnett also recently announced shes running for the seat. The margin is slightly larger than what would require a mandatory recount. As those votes continue to trickle in, the results could certainly change. Boebert, who spent months hyping up a massive red wave election (along with the rest of the Republican Party), has been uncharacteristically quiet on Twitter this week. The first few days of this week are likely to bring frustration for those furiously refreshing the vote counts in CO-3. During her first term in Congress, Boebert sat in the minority and was not able to pass any legislation. In Colorado, county elections boards have until Nov. 30 to certify their election results and submit those to the secretary of states office, which has a Dec. 5 deadline to issue its own certification or order mandatory recounts. Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert remained in a tight race Friday morning against Democrat Adam Frisch after redistricting made her bid for reelection to her Colorado seat more competitive.. Boebert . Just 64 votes separate the two candidates. She sounded an upbeat note on her re-election chances on social media last week . The chamber's possible next speaker, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., pledged to give far-right members committee seats, offering the likes ofRep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, R-Ga.,a loudermicrophone. Link copied. Adam Frischs lead over Lauren Boebert shrinks, Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Get to know all 17 Denver mayor candidates , Denver East High student dies more than two weeks after being shot outside school, Adam Frischs lead over Lauren Boebert shrinks to just 64 votes as count continues, Vice President Kamala Harris to visit Denver next week to discuss climate change efforts, Denver spends nearly $8 million on migrant crisis, including almost $872,000 on bus tickets, Colorado grocery stores can begin selling wine on Wednesday. according to the Colorado Secretary of States Office, cited low enthusiasm for up-ticket Republicans, falsely accused of shooting her neighbors dogs, husband confronted and frightened their neighbors, champion of far-right conservative values, Denver just got a direct flight to this Caribbean island known for music history and vegetarian cooking, Coloradans may have another chance to see the northern lights Monday night, Denver gang member gave 14-year-old permission to open fire on woman with AR-15 after fender-bender, DA alleges, Feds sue water company for rupture damaging Rocky Mountain National Park -- again, Price of gas in Colorado has risen 51% since Suncor's refinery shutdown in late December. Democrat Adam Frisch, a candidate for Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, makes an appearance on the campus of the University of Colorado-Pueblo in Pueblo, Colorado in September. Not only will the candidates be trying to keep the voters they won over last time, but theyll also be trying to flip some, and doing all they can to go after the voters who didnt turn out in a midterm election year. The GOP firebrand inched to victory over the former member of . Chris Taylor, spokesperson for the Democratic partys congressional campaign arm, said his group engaged with Team Frisch multiple occasions throughout this election cycle" but did not address any of Frischs detailed accounts of his outreach. Other problems may include an issue with the identification the voter has on file with the state. The Maryland Democrat had receipts for his Republican colleague. To Frisch, the slim margin in the election speaks to his ability to build a broad bi-partisan coalition by touting himself as a moderate. The newsletter identified state Sen. Don Coram, Boebert's strongest Republican opponent, as the politician whom "some believe (creates) the best chance of having a different representative in . By the numbers: Boebert received support from 47% of likely voters, while Democrat Adam Frisch landed at 45% making the . Throughout her reelection campaign, the congresswoman repeatedly avoided saying whether she would concede the race if she lost, falling in line with her attempts to spread misinformation and falsehoods about the countrys election security. The race between the conservative firebrand and Frisch is currently separated by 1,122 votes, with Boebert leading by 0.35 percent. That happens when the margin between the top two candidates is at or below 0.5% of the leading candidates vote total. Democrats slightly edge out Republicans in voter registration, but the largest block of voters are unaffiliated. Throughout the district, 313,428 votes had been counted, more than 63% of the districts 487,094 registered voters. pronounced LAW-run // BOH-bert. Which of these Republicans who won by less than 1% has the best chance at re-election in 2024? Ad Choices. Durch Klicken auf Alle akzeptieren erklren Sie sich damit einverstanden, dass Yahoo und unsere Partner Ihre personenbezogenen Daten verarbeiten und Technologien wie Cookies nutzen, um personalisierte Anzeigen und Inhalte zu zeigen, zur Messung von Anzeigen und Inhalten, um mehr ber die Zielgruppe zu erfahren sowie fr die Entwicklung von Produkten. At this point, we just want to finish today.. Exclusive: Inside the S--tshow That Was the Trump-Biden Transition. 1, Frisch was well funded on his own, and No. During the campaign, Boebert and Frisch clashed less on policy issues and more on character. If such a narrow margin holds, the results will trigger an automatic recount for the race. State officials are investigating whether Boebert broke any laws by cashing in on large amounts of mileage reimbursements from her own campaign coffers. A candidate challenging Rep. Lauren Boebert for her congressional seat in Colorado announced his entrance to the race with an ad featuring flying cow feces. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski, File) Thus, Boebert's win could end up being even greater. Frisch, of Aspen, attended congressional orientation in Washington, D.C., this week in case the remaining ballots turned in his favor. As Colorado heads into its final day of ballot counting, one of the state's eight districts remains undecided: the unexpectedly tight race between Republican Representative Lauren Boebert and her Democratic challenger Adam Frisch. Those reversals took place in a 2004 governor's race in Washington, a 2006 state auditor's race in Vermont, and a 2008 Senate race in Minnesota. 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